paper scope/work/research/warmingHiatus
- citation_key: dai2018
- title: Identifying the Early 2000s Hiatus Associated with Internal Climate Variability
- author: Xin-Gang Dai, Ping Wang
- journal: Scientific Reports
- year: 2018
- doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-31862-z
The hiatus is characterized as a near-zero trend on the decadal scale corresponding to the maximum P-value via an F-test in statistics.
The GWH is often attributed to internal climate variability, external forcing, or both. Recent cooling in the middle and eastern regions of the tropical Pacific has seemingly involved a phase change of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) accompanying intensified trade winds. The GWH may also be associated with an increase in aerosols in the stratosphere during the period 2000–2010 because aerosols can increase optical depth, which generates countervailing forces against global warming. The GWH may also be explained in part by extensive heat uptake by the deep ocean or an extremely low number of sunspots during the latest solar activity cycle.
..., which indicates that infilling and bias correction in the datasets increase the temperature, especially during the early 2000s, probably due to rapid warming in the Arctic region. @cohen2014
