paper scope/work/research/surfaceTemperature scope/work/research/warmingHiatus
- citation_key: yan2016
- title: The Global Warming Hiatus: Slowdown or Redistribution?
- author: Xiao-Hai Yan, Tim Boyer, Kevin Trenberth, Thomas R. Karl, Shang-Ping Xie, Veronica Nieves, Ka-Kit Tung, Dean Roemmich
- journal: Earth's Future
- year: 2016
- doi: 10.1002/2016EF000417
This is a review
Differend researches define the "hiatus" differently. For instance, IPCC AR5 claimed hiatus should be 1998-2012, comparing with 1951-2012.
Global surface mean temperature increased slowly from 1951-1970. Then there was a rapid in mid-1970s, which was probably due to positive phase of PDO and AMO.
If we are talking about "global warming hiatus", it should refer to a pause in the rate of increase of heat energy in the Earth’s system, not just rate of increase in surface temperature.
Arguably, the most appropriate single variable in the Earth’s system that can be used to monitor global warming is ocean heat content (OHC), integrated from the surface to the bottom of the ocean.